TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Over47c27,217$12,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,792.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c12,771$8,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c7,156$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.111,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under53c5,600$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over42c5,518$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.572634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c5,005$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.2568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c4,683$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.4541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0220…5ca3backed Over60c3,130$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under40c3,062$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.983119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under53c3,018$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.466659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Over43c2,934$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under62c2,510$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.96837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c2,217$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.7234239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under55c2,162$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.825158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under55c2,121$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c2,087$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2418923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6c55…4a8cbacked Over45c1,636$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under55c1,536$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.322560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over23c1,386$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c1,257$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.055843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47032854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c784.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7212350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c732.88$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under73c680.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under48c430.11$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.441060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c427.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9322545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over47c423.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.29561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over48c381$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.882842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Under53c377.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under72c339.93$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6730828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under52c333$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over20c295$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5960%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c267.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.724940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under75c260.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over24c250$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c230.44$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c224.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0131958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under57c218$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c200.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c177.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.28958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over27c170.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c146.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under72c141.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.871435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c139.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c134.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8419042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under74c126.54$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under55c126.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.482272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under62c122.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3539740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c117$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c113.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0115354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c109.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over38c109.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.842536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over46c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.353545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under57c98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.536155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over20c84.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Under80c84.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under58c82.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.571747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under62c81.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.132842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under58c79.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over40c72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.049045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under57c69.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under67c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c66.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over34c62.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.256544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3594…6533backed Under56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Over44c61.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over50c59.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over27c56.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.083655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over28c54.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c51.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1751139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under66c47.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under67c46.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under53c44.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Under76c44.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over32c42.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6618055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under53c38.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under45c35.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b8…4a59backed Under74c31.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under55c30.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.842190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under68c26.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under59c20.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2811260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.697964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under68c18.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under58c17.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.