Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7cbabb5ec048646ff0dc3af8cc517bb9fbe0f68cd3564d45bfc66c0b067ae18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,975$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 843$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.49 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 698.54$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.24 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 48c | 527.59$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 403.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 23c | 400$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 395.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 11c | 362.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 51c | 268.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 241.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 30c | 159.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Under | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 108.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 67c | 103.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 74.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 62.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 55.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 51.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 75c | 45.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 31.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…98c8backed Over | 43c | 31.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.