TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Virginia Mountaineersof Oklahoma Sooners, West Virginia Mountaineers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Oklahoma Sooners51c3,438$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.0433438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners49c2,858$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.413,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c2,438$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.091,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Oklahoma Sooners50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Oklahoma Sooners50c1,998$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c1,918$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.75044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers50c1,533$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed West Virginia Mountaineers50c1,188$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.131656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed West Virginia Mountaineers73c1,054$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers50c587.56$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked West Virginia Mountaineers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Oklahoma Sooners50c441.35$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6863551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Oklahoma Sooners7c357$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed West Virginia Mountaineers29c355.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9210437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed West Virginia Mountaineers51c308.03$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.948145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma Sooners53c303.56$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.794,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Oklahoma Sooners69c284.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed West Virginia Mountaineers35c233.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2514728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers48c226.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed West Virginia Mountaineers50c214.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.431931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Oklahoma Sooners48c199.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.979866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Oklahoma Sooners52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1233855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed West Virginia Mountaineers53c162.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2819454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Oklahoma Sooners43c142$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.939725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers50c135.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed West Virginia Mountaineers41c133.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.471,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers49c131.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.34,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Oklahoma Sooners34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-87.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Oklahoma Sooners63c112.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers46c109.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.952055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Oklahoma Sooners58c104.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3819153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Oklahoma Sooners48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda29…7907backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c98.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.081050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia Mountaineers41c93.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c76.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.633441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Oklahoma Sooners34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Oklahoma Sooners34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-81.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed West Virginia Mountaineers64c70.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3622756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Oklahoma Sooners57c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.191414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed West Virginia Mountaineers42c66.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c64.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.933946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b3…3b3bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c61.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed West Virginia Mountaineers51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9832652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df2…e7b0backed Oklahoma Sooners78c51.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Oklahoma Sooners50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2516551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Oklahoma Sooners54c47.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5419147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.417746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c44.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.529050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed West Virginia Mountaineers50c40.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.212181%17 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.27per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.387160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Oklahoma Sooners34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c36.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.754753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c36.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c35.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.214146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c30.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8417446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c26.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c5…671bbacked Oklahoma Sooners49c25.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c25.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.119154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers47c24.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed West Virginia Mountaineers47c24.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.821283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+45.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed West Virginia Mountaineers47c24.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.821258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed West Virginia Mountaineers48c21.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Oklahoma Sooners51c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2720…7549backed West Virginia Mountaineers48c20.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c20.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed West Virginia Mountaineers52c19.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.