TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under54c32,108$17,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,271.7167056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over46c27,185$12,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,679.7533838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over46c3,729$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.551,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c1,850$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under10c1,600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+114.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,270$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.957736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over48c1,200$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Over47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.924359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under54c1,005$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.628852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over46c973.63$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.631,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.12,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Over46c967.6$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.530035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under54c937.95$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.0616352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484a…5d4ebacked Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over42c899.23$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.5517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over46c845.02$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9629338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…eacdbacked Under3c753.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Under14c714$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26028843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.991,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Over46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.224147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Under54c358.37$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.519347.3%44 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under8c323.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7243233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under8c286$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9833124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over47c282.22$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5843839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Over50c277.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Over47c273.84$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.135547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Over46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13521147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under9c219$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2542124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.596048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…2779backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.189662.5%60 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1824845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over46c186.82$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8896054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over43c168.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7712937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under55c102.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1941544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under54c98.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over47c82.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6721140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over47c77.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2263458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Over46c77.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.83951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under55c69.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0741156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over45c53.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.652045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Over47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.312741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4e…ccabbacked Over47c50.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Under51c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.516143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Over47c49.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0728655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Under54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2529948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc578…5c1ebacked Under57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.353161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+80.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under55c31.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6f…b20fbacked Under57c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90a…07e8backed Over56c25.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Over46c25.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5241660.1%250 W · 166 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under55c20.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0935755.7%199 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under54c19.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.