Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2fa7acfb7348c40715948c724dc28fe7abe531450f9ed9adac36b97783a9a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 46c | 20,832$9,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,259.26 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 20,286$10,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,954.59 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 1,689$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.71 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 55c | 964.15$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.29 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Over | 46c | 545.22$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.42 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Over | 54c | 315.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 45c | 293.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Under | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 46c | 191.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Over | 55c | 145.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 46c | 135.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Over | 46c | 119.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 51c | 116.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 111.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 45c | 94.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…1532backed Over | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…337ebacked Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.