Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd81a15e6796138708032fa6fdc00c1b60bafa09ab5674b965350af5d432256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 5c | 1,154$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a709backed Yes | 73c | 878.75$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 29c | 681.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 454.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 16c | 397.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 351$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 21c | 335.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.91 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 21c | 290.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked No | 23c | 287.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 286.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 265.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 12c | 246.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.37 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 19c | 196.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…0ab4backed Yes | 78c | 187.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 51c | 187.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 183.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 33c | 177.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 31c | 177.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 163.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 25c | 150.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 38c | 144$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 60c | 143.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 18c | 138.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 57c | 137.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 8c | 134.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…617cbacked Yes | 74c | 134.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 132.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 130.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…2783backed Yes | 36c | 128$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 79c | 124.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 17c | 121.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 109.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…703dbacked Yes | 69c | 102.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…0060backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 78c | 96.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…6903backed Yes | 26c | 80.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed No | 24c | 80.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 79.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 79c | 75.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed Yes | 62c | 69.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…1907backed Yes | 23c | 64.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4360backed Yes | 20c | 62.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…25febacked Yes | 22c | 62.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…a036backed Yes | 72c | 61.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 28c | 57.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 78c | 57.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Yes | 23c | 55.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 60c | 53.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…f69dbacked Yes | 47c | 52.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked No | 37c | 51.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed No | 53c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…0a1abacked Yes | 25c | 47.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 46.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…c8ddbacked No | 41c | 44.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed No | 37c | 43.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…eec7backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…dbf4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…65e7backed Yes | 65c | 39.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…c0d2backed No | 38c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…51c9backed Yes | 65c | 36.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d3…b40dbacked No | 76c | 36.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…b68dbacked Yes | 55c | 35.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…3d11backed No | 76c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…91dabacked No | 77c | 33.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 46c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…e280backed Yes | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 70c | 31.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 67c | 29.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 77c | 26.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 73c | 21.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…99bbbacked No | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…337abacked No | 76c | 15.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…ec42backed No | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…e9c1backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 76c | 13.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.