Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245a9919bd5f5834b3440622a62a902c070dc0ea1589edda416eee52013ae3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x674c…26cebacked No | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd917…2978backed Yes | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,005$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 54c | 535.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 396.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 22c | 338.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 24c | 332.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 16c | 326.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 38c | 319.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 281.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 273.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 60c | 272.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 256.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a709backed Yes | 40c | 234.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 15c | 232.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 27c | 229.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 40c | 228.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 33c | 211.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…3979backed No | 48c | 208.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Yes | 20c | 200.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 42c | 199.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 198.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked Yes | 64c | 188.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 55c | 183.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 165.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 39c | 161.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 56c | 156.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 34c | 150.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 47c | 146.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 44c | 138.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 21c | 135.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 45c | 131.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…9bf0backed Yes | 39c | 126.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 118.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…2851backed Yes | 53c | 114.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 28c | 114.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…58c9backed Yes | 44c | 111.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…2783backed Yes | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 109.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 38c | 106.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 61c | 101.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 18c | 101.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 50c | 100.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 51c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 58c | 90.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 87.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 48c | 86.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 49c | 85.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…4bb2backed Yes | 33c | 83.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…0a1abacked Yes | 33c | 81.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…3d11backed No | 57c | 79.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 19c | 75.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…960abacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…bb29backed Yes | 22c | 74.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 44c | 74.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 34c | 73.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 62c | 72.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 68.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 37c | 68.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 74c | 67.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…c8ddbacked Yes | 21c | 65.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 61.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked Yes | 45c | 60.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 54c | 59.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 57.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 59c | 56.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…f69dbacked Yes | 41c | 53.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 29c | 52.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 71c | 51.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 68c | 51.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 78c | 49.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 44c | 48.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 45.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…cda7backed Yes | 28c | 43.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…c2d0backed Yes | 27c | 42.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4360backed Yes | 32c | 42.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 53c | 41.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 45c | 39.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…2440backed No | 56c | 39.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 60c | 39.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…25febacked Yes | 34c | 37.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 35c | 34.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…701ebacked No | 46c | 33.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 58c | 31.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 38c | 31.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…ec02backed No | 65c | 29.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.