South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820384bb95d97b30d98852de5d0d2bedcc09530152fd0b83aef2a2b511e3f2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,220$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 32c | 921.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.4 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 31c | 669.66$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.66 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 10c | 664.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 595.02$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +319.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 9c | 277$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 34c | 269.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed No | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 71c | 257.96$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 32c | 251.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 7c | 199.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed Yes | 31c | 166.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…515ebacked No | 12c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 118.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 93.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 45c | 86.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 76c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 72c | 56.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed Yes | 31c | 42.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 61c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…bac9backed No | 71c | 18.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Juventud won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CA Juventud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.