Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203effa8d4698107a62fdca5424516977ea6bef14027dcfdd63360cf9b6aef7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brøndby IFof Brøndby IF, Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Brøndby IF | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 62c | 712.01$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 11c | 362.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brøndby IF | 75c | 282.39$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brøndby IF | 69c | 266.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Brøndby IF | 27c | 259.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brøndby IF | 26c | 245.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 13c | 192$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 51c | 122.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Brøndby IF | 54c | 111.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 71c | 103.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 72c | 84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 76c | 82.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 63.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 63.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 63.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 63.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…8edcbacked Brøndby IF | 31c | 44.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Brøndby IF | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)this page
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.