TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Yes32c11,473$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.717540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c6,749$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c3,137$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.792,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes24c2,076$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.574339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c1,955$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.125,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No68c1,644$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes31c1,545$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c1,470$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.431,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x603d…c3a7backed Yes30c1,274$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No68c1,206$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9950746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c730.9$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.551,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No70c685$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.59953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No77c640.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2910750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes21c538.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.942740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes30c496.04$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.779831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes20c464.79$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.795042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes11c447.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes9c408.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.749710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c397.56$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.243,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c341.09$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.253,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2168…99fcbacked Yes31c303.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.941717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes20c276.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.43923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes13c265.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c260$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c234.7$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.411,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No75c234.41$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6719356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No69c210.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No75c206.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.347758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes23c202.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6341145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c185.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.011,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c161.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.541,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes32c158.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.963333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No68c143.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.696842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes33c141.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6812828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No74c135.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.787460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c119.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c116.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes31c115.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.853831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No68c111.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.372,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes32c104.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5718743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes31c102.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.635026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes24c99.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8630231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No69c98.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No69c81.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1710767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes32c78.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.272326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes13c76.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No69c76.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6710158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No68c71.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5611553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4244959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Yes32c59.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.182347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed No68c54.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No69c53.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c53.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No69c53.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Yes31c52.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.272737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes32c47.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.356440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad8f…e299backed Yes33c43.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No69c42.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2212259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes30c41.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x280f…004abacked Yes26c40.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed No70c36.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.917265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No69c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0217261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6b…0c6ebacked Yes31c34.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Yes32c34.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.932245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No73c34.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No69c33.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3816459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No69c33.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3838861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No69c33.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.249953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No75c32.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes32c32.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.258137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No68c31.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.185954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed No67c29.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.592962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No71c27.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.944252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No70c24.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2719761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae6…5e07backed No70c23.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c21.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f52…ce1bbacked No69c21.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99a…1f3ebacked No69c21.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25560%33 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No76c19.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.835764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No75c18.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.493060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No69c17.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked No69c17.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.392871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed No69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.963256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1c…197dbacked No70c14.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.