Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef6afb1badf01662bb9cf341a8ae49dc0f085989c8f3afa000174f422e342c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,746 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 7,755$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.53 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.39 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 2,053$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.52 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 80c | 1,884$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,342$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 22c | 999.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 54c | 977.8$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 938.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 10c | 715.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 5c | 615.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 538.14$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Yes | 46c | 517.39$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 411.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 23c | 387.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 22c | 313.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 24c | 305$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 70c | 286.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 249.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 20c | 248.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 55c | 212$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…455ebacked No | 55c | 178.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 21c | 167.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 10c | 157.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…ec06backed Yes | 17c | 148.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 9c | 145.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 79c | 134.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 128.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 126.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 116$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…fd03backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 16c | 103.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…e74abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 96.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 93.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 86.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 71.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 72c | 49.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 23c | 48.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 49c | 45.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 44.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 44.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 78c | 34.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 68c | 30.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d2afbacked No | 77c | 29.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 28.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 51c | 27.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 80c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…a4e2backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 23.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…0498backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 78c | 18.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…e7a9backed No | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…78a0backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.