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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TCU Horned Frogsof TCU Horned Frogs, Texas Tech Red Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs71c3,982$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.94,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders35c3,398$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.9549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked TCU Horned Frogs74c2,591$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.591,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c2,032$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.5429845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders70c1,418$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs58c1,394$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.255,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked TCU Horned Frogs26c1,299$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.841,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed TCU Horned Frogs21c1,280$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.2222349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c1,256$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.081,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked TCU Horned Frogs23c1,082$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.4825130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders57c1,024$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.375,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed TCU Horned Frogs34c966.11$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.2381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders30c896.71$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.352,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders35c866.85$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5627450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders30c832.42$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Texas Tech Red Raiders26c790.18$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.72,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TCU Horned Frogs20c768.59$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.262,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed TCU Horned Frogs22c693.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.912630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders49c622.22$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.482,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed TCU Horned Frogs55c620.35$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.093,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Texas Tech Red Raiders31c619.45$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.493836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed TCU Horned Frogs19c523.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0223331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed TCU Horned Frogs76c505.45$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e49…fb01backed TCU Horned Frogs24c414.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+193.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders23c407.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.531,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4964…a330backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c400$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders29c367.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked TCU Horned Frogs17c366.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2237441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders76c326.91$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.394,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Texas Tech Red Raiders27c299.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.712540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked TCU Horned Frogs23c298.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.282,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed TCU Horned Frogs34c291.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.524843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed TCU Horned Frogs25c278.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1962140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders46c278.1$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c258.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7613445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c243.97$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.862,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders23c229.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed TCU Horned Frogs21c212.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.583756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b58…695dbacked TCU Horned Frogs23c211.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.834100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+160.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed TCU Horned Frogs33c210.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed TCU Horned Frogs73c206.57$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders30c199.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.891,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked TCU Horned Frogs18c199.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.561,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed TCU Horned Frogs33c198.46$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5819238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TCU Horned Frogs54c195.35$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders36c161.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.061,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Texas Tech Red Raiders31c144.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.667655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders27c135.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.471,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed TCU Horned Frogs19c131.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.225520%11 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a1…b711backed TCU Horned Frogs23c130.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+128.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Texas Tech Red Raiders29c107.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.261,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c99.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7225254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed TCU Horned Frogs29c98.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked TCU Horned Frogs56c98.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed TCU Horned Frogs21c98.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9722950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders64c78.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed TCU Horned Frogs50c77.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3757655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Texas Tech Red Raiders49c76.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.271,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TCU Horned Frogs20c75.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.961,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed TCU Horned Frogs48c75.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.727031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c68.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.656048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Tech Red Raiders27c67.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.232,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed TCU Horned Frogs34c67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.222030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed TCU Horned Frogs22c64.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1812649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed TCU Horned Frogs20c64.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4249157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed TCU Horned Frogs43c57.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.418439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked TCU Horned Frogs20c55.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0620834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders80c55.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked TCU Horned Frogs20c53.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9661244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders72c47.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders68c46.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed TCU Horned Frogs22c45.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3315066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c24.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.132642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c23.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c21.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9326550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08d…d45fbacked TCU Horned Frogs72c19.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.561250%6 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders73c17.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9513464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c17.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.845248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.