Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747ec272b85bb0ccd58fa319273baeb1493d1085838729957dff4a5d865095e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Texas Tech Red Raiders, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 13,157$6,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.69 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 8,923$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 2,285$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 2,052$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.67 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,983$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.43 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 968.26$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.77 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 808$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 804.9$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 800.93$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 800.93$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed TCU Horned Frogs | 55c | 361.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 323.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 257.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 235.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 235.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 190.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 184.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 110.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 37.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.