TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof HOTU, WHITEBIRD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12c0…692bbacked HOTU60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed WHITEBIRD40c8,178$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.3621051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked WHITEBIRD39c5,875$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.9820539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed WHITEBIRD39c4,289$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.291,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed HOTU60c3,929$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.686450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed HOTU60c3,300$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked HOTU64c3,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.2225751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked HOTU60c2,284$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.6484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked HOTU62c1,977$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed WHITEBIRD9c1,776$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.84616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked WHITEBIRD9c1,743$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.223,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed WHITEBIRD40c1,691$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.511,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed WHITEBIRD39c1,429$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55420838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked WHITEBIRD40c1,350$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.541,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed HOTU64c1,325$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47718752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82be…75abbacked WHITEBIRD3c1,251$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.041181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed WHITEBIRD36c1,120$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.212426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7fc…0e80backed WHITEBIRD3c1,091$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU68c1,000$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.345,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed HOTU58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42016653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed HOTU78c931.73$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x359a…91d6backed WHITEBIRD1c875.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed WHITEBIRD38c868.76$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.929138.5%35 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed WHITEBIRD40c835.7$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2814151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked HOTU60c799.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3206060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked WHITEBIRD38c736.18$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.925337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed WHITEBIRD41c717.66$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5419643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed HOTU62c709.81$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7617347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed WHITEBIRD3c707$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-89.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed WHITEBIRD38c700.09$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.449842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked WHITEBIRD32c700$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511830.5%36 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked WHITEBIRD39c656.52$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25832536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec36…78bbbacked WHITEBIRD25c649.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.162070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed WHITEBIRD40c582.32$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.93922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU66c574.72$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.574,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3021…5133backed WHITEBIRD46c508.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.981811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-76.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed WHITEBIRD40c499.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9976546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed WHITEBIRD2c497.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed WHITEBIRD37c461.67$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17317847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed HOTU61c410$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.92075%15 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d35…47c3backed HOTU60c406.88$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed WHITEBIRD36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14439258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed WHITEBIRD38c399.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9932845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc01c…63f9backed WHITEBIRD11c388.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed WHITEBIRD3c357.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.455166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed WHITEBIRD39c343.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.821833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed WHITEBIRD40c336.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6385446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed WHITEBIRD40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13045244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed HOTU62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5813857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed HOTU64c302.89$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.96953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed WHITEBIRD33c300.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1175,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked WHITEBIRD29c287.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.67,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed WHITEBIRD42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e30…d50abacked WHITEBIRD40c284.18$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.671353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed WHITEBIRD39c283.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4615141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed HOTU60c280$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11217849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WHITEBIRD39c260.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.671,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked WHITEBIRD37c250$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed HOTU60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU59c227.14$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.671,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU72c220.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.514,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WHITEBIRD20c219.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.385,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed WHITEBIRD12c213.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5124641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked WHITEBIRD33c211.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed WHITEBIRD40c210.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.113246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed WHITEBIRD38c205.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5154032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU62c202$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed HOTU63c199.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9914863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed WHITEBIRD34c195.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.636944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed HOTU65c193.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8695849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaec…7396backed WHITEBIRD40c193.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD13c183.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.146,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked HOTU56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed HOTU60c173.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2413937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed WHITEBIRD25c170.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked WHITEBIRD43c169.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5919350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed HOTU60c166.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.150340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed HOTU60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.36055%33 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed HOTU61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed WHITEBIRD40c162.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0938739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed HOTU58c156.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6311249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed HOTU64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2521867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bc…75b4backed WHITEBIRD41c152$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked HOTU66c151.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7315756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2f…5cb9backed HOTU62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed HOTU75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8d1…fdf8backed WHITEBIRD29c148.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked WHITEBIRD41c144.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked WHITEBIRD42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked WHITEBIRD42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked HOTU59c141.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1111846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…4f36backed WHITEBIRD41c135$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed HOTU61c133.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1716750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed WHITEBIRD27c127.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2129840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…3398backed WHITEBIRD15c123.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8410730.8%33 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed WHITEBIRD38c123$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7416250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed WHITEBIRD11c119.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.655427.8%15 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed WHITEBIRD39c115.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0115756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed HOTU65c113.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.853961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.