CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3efcfb420f053394ec9f8f970c99b4573e6eb261062fa6b372704910f7c0f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof HOTU, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WHITEBIRD | 39c | 2,672$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed HOTU | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed WHITEBIRD | 38c | 420$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed HOTU | 61c | 420$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed HOTU | 30c | 349.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed HOTU | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked HOTU | 61c | 269.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 60c | 239.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked HOTU | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked WHITEBIRD | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed WHITEBIRD | 41c | 142.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked WHITEBIRD | 36c | 132.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU | 64c | 130.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed HOTU | 65c | 116$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked HOTU | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 16c | 105.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked WHITEBIRD | 46c | 101.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WHITEBIRD | 36c | 96.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed HOTU | 46c | 96.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed HOTU | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked WHITEBIRD | 41c | 65.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed WHITEBIRD | 55c | 63.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WHITEBIRD | 40c | 53.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked HOTU | 28c | 52.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed HOTU | 62c | 50.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked WHITEBIRD | 78c | 46.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed WHITEBIRD | 41c | 35.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked WHITEBIRD | 64c | 33.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed HOTU | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed WHITEBIRD | 43c | 24.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.