Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzlies (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd186b60b0aedabca3fd49584084af80a834a94bae0c0dbc460516af884e7e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Colorado Bears, Montana Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Montana Grizzlies | 32c | 1,300$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Colorado Bears | 67c | 1,062$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.81 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 22c | 651$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 419$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Montana Grizzlies | 11c | 227.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Montana Grizzlies | 18c | 222.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 67c | 206.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Northern Colorado Bears | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 153.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 109$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 76c | 69.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Montana Grizzlies | 24c | 65.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 24c | 54.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Montana Grizzlies | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Northern Colorado Bears | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…30d3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.