CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3582c804cbc0607563f270886f82857b6e40ae8d79010b070839d770c1b881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof Procyon Gaming, FOLHA AMARELA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Procyon Gaming | 5c | 900.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Procyon Gaming | 56c | 813.6$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.4 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 750.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.88 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Procyon Gaming | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 529.55$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 51c | 400.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 43c | 225.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed FOLHA AMARELA | 44c | 225.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Procyon Gaming | 47c | 199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Procyon Gaming | 38c | 180.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed FOLHA AMARELA | 57c | 146.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 78c | 146.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Procyon Gaming | 54c | 122.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 44c | 110.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Procyon Gaming | 44c | 84.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed FOLHA AMARELA | 59c | 77.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 57c | 67.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 57c | 61.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Procyon Gaming | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Procyon Gaming | 47c | 46.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Procyon Gaming | 68c | 42.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 40c | 42.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Procyon Gaming | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…866fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Procyon Gaming | 51c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Procyon Gaming | 52c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 PlayoffsFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 2 WinnerProcyon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.