NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdb1c4cc44cf9708de7ad2da4b7f01ddd5062a90809d874f70812a72c6f79cd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 219,629$98,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,684.13 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 44c | 35,490$15,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,615.61 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 56c | 17,181$9,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.79 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 56c | 11,011$6,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.71 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 45c | 7,462$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 4,645$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 3,651$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.54 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Under | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 3,131$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.01 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 55c | 1,820$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 1,616$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.45 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 56c | 782$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 47c | 572$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 55c | 560$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 29c | 193$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 56c | 170.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 59c | 169.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 71c | 147.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 56c | 116.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 70.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 44c | 59.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 45c | 42.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Under | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7911…85a6backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked Under | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. KrakenKraken won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.