TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Western Michigan vs. Miami (OH)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH)of Western Michigan, Miami (OH)
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$659,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Miami (OH)56c626,184$349,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276,952.6112549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Western Michigan44c391,417$172,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,408.6993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Western Michigan44c47,061$20,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,928.8775651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Western Michigan44c25,111$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,16015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Western Michigan45c20,320$9,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1445440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Western Michigan44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8009750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Western Michigan44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8007342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Western Michigan45c18,879$8,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,495.495141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Western Michigan45c13,282$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,978.0585947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Western Michigan44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Western Michigan44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4007944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Western Michigan45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Western Michigan44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Western Michigan45c7,057$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.9281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Western Michigan45c6,832$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.421055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Western Michigan45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Western Michigan45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2505653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Western Michigan45c4,797$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.6526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Miami (OH)54c3,962$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.44353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Miami (OH)55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan45c3,211$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.972,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Western Michigan44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1229055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Western Michigan47c2,250$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.7234529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Western Michigan45c2,239$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Miami (OH)54c2,078$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.8434250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Western Michigan45c1,656$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Miami (OH)52c1,596$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.152343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Western Michigan50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Western Michigan46c1,376$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.123751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Miami (OH)38c1,320$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.393053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Miami (OH)55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.124748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Miami (OH)47c1,200$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.295352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Michigan46c1,134$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2154243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Western Michigan44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Miami (OH)54c932.26$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8411846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Western Michigan45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Western Michigan45c811.61$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2262843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami (OH)51c757.13$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan46c642$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4440244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Western Michigan45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Western Michigan2c519.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.631360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Western Michigan44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22025629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Michigan52c470.85$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Western Michigan62c445.64$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.327648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be7…4efcbacked Miami (OH)39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Western Michigan46c233$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4121629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Western Michigan45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Western Michigan46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.213253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Western Michigan46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Miami (OH)55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Miami (OH)56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Miami (OH)37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Western Michigan45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Western Michigan28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Miami (OH)55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.097867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e6c…cabfbacked Western Michigan46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-78.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…3261backed Western Michigan46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…5ed7backed Miami (OH)55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…a393backed Miami (OH)55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Miami (OH)56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Miami (OH)55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Western Michigan45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510246.1%47 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0c61backed Miami (OH)55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ef…25d2backed Western Michigan46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a63…ae0cbacked Western Michigan46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Western Michigan46c96.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4722030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Western Michigan45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a67…5432backed Miami (OH)55c56.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Western Michigan49c52.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.525819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…a2e2backed Western Michigan67c44.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Western Michigan46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Western Michigan46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x21a4…7f84backed Western Michigan45c43.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00b4…9798backed Western Michigan45c38.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc222…194bbacked Miami (OH)49c38.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Miami (OH)53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749752.6%51 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…28e2backed Western Michigan67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5445…964dbacked Western Michigan70c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2f…56d3backed Western Michigan63c24.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc53…8c9cbacked Miami (OH)56c21.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…b3cfbacked Miami (OH)56c21.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ff…9bd1backed Miami (OH)56c19.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce7d…625dbacked Miami (OH)56c18.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.