MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbfdfa3745993c14bc8e4508d1827bc74fa82e15b142ff79d75c3dc083dbbdf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 18,279$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 4,357$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 3,915$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 2,003$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,598$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.96 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 1,460$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 1,200$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,161$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.02 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 1,161$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,093$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,090$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 944.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 832.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 801$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 647.37$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 293.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 236.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…fec8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 101.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 52.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…d1cabacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.