Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f1628255ed95312de50613ac586cdaa864fa3597ffd1b17cccb85b33772f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Valparaiso Beacons, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Bradley Braves | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 12,978$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 11,455$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 6,329$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 5,478$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 1,553$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Valparaiso Beacons | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 1,199$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 1,126$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 935.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 890$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 766$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 729.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 620.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 547$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Bradley Braves | 78c | 499.54$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Valparaiso Beacons | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Valparaiso Beacons | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 441.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Valparaiso Beacons | 19c | 320$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 316.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 262.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons | 6c | 251.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bradley Braves | 79c | 204.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 27c | 117$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Valparaiso Beacons | 19c | 105.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 18c | 83.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 80.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 22c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bradley Braves | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 54.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 54.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…8649backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Valparaiso Beacons | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Valparaiso Beacons | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Valparaiso Beacons | 22c | 46.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bradley Braves | 77c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Bradley Braves | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Bravesthis page
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-7.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.