Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa327c2014205c8f9f8bad14a5e2585493d96a015efaddff500a4d3877a9eeba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof St. John's Red Storm, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 19,198$9,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,307.09 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 10,908$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.59 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 6,678$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 3,186$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 1,325$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 813.25$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.25 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…54a0backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 105.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 35.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 30.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…5ceabacked St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden EaglesSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.