Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd9a8bedcc25aa1569cc5ae4621486d0c5b92f7190389280c7f36035bf41553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 50c | 26,713$13,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,356.54 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 20,127$10,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,704.42 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 10,695$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 46c | 8,289$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.16 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 52c | 6,629$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 47c | 4,772$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.16 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 4,560$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.45 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,442$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 2,813$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.71 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 2,200$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.72 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 47c | 2,085$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 1,012$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.52 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 999.56$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.63 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 45c | 773.15$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.23 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 259.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 252.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Over | 53c | 187.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 55c | 117.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 55c | 53.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 29.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 47c | 28.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 56c | 18.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden EaglesSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.