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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Marquette Golden Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Marquette Golden Eagles21c20,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2005244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Marquette Golden Eagles19c5,956$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.141,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Marquette Golden Eagles21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles20c4,864$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.761,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Marquette Golden Eagles10c4,239$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles19c4,146$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles29c3,017$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.055,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked St. John's Red Storm80c2,934$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.930249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed St. John's Red Storm72c2,749$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.55550.9%28 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Marquette Golden Eagles9c2,717$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.522347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm79c2,222$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.622,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Marquette Golden Eagles47c2,122$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Marquette Golden Eagles20c2,070$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0930139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles29c1,953$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.844,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. John's Red Storm78c1,934$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Marquette Golden Eagles13c1,787$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.616940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Marquette Golden Eagles21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9222349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c1,492$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.483135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed St. John's Red Storm71c1,053$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.142,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Marquette Golden Eagles44c952$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.3299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Marquette Golden Eagles21c871.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Marquette Golden Eagles20c744.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.483,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8db…54e8backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles21c572$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1211046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Marquette Golden Eagles22c551.03$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7934943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Marquette Golden Eagles22c502.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.422,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Marquette Golden Eagles21c471.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles25c463.6$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Marquette Golden Eagles35c460.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.081,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles18c446.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.41,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed St. John's Red Storm61c442.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3519641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Marquette Golden Eagles21c439$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Marquette Golden Eagles11c437.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed St. John's Red Storm78c430$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed St. John's Red Storm79c362.55$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.941,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed St. John's Red Storm60c306.18$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8523363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Marquette Golden Eagles51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5735243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marquette Golden Eagles18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles18c299.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5493941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed St. John's Red Storm79c288.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6941554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles21c286$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0620452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed St. John's Red Storm79c269.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed Marquette Golden Eagles12c251.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed St. John's Red Storm77c250$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed St. John's Red Storm49c249.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa864…e47bbacked St. John's Red Storm72c247.22$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca7…00f9backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c231.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c215.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.095,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed St. John's Red Storm64c210.73$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.542,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c202.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marquette Golden Eagles19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c193.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Marquette Golden Eagles58c172.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Marquette Golden Eagles35c170.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marquette Golden Eagles26c168.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.251,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked Marquette Golden Eagles6c159.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marquette Golden Eagles40c151.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.624,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked St. John's Red Storm49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.59352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed St. John's Red Storm80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked St. John's Red Storm68c127.06$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Marquette Golden Eagles21c127$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3661244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c125.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked St. John's Red Storm80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Marquette Golden Eagles18c120.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Marquette Golden Eagles32c116.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c103.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Marquette Golden Eagles53c101.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Marquette Golden Eagles20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206040%24 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Marquette Golden Eagles40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marquette Golden Eagles44c96.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c95.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.791,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed Marquette Golden Eagles20c90.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.188333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Marquette Golden Eagles22c90.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5112141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Marquette Golden Eagles22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ea…0d10backed Marquette Golden Eagles26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…071cbacked St. John's Red Storm74c75.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c66.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed St. John's Red Storm46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0812540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed St. John's Red Storm80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e2…3c77backed St. John's Red Storm54c49.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+46%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked St. John's Red Storm51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles33c36.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked St. John's Red Storm80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed St. John's Red Storm63c29.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.045168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked St. John's Red Storm79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.329849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed St. John's Red Storm79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f3…64b3backed St. John's Red Storm78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed St. John's Red Storm80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.753850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked St. John's Red Storm78c14.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1210259.8%61 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed St. John's Red Storm80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.582846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed St. John's Red Storm80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0a…78b0backed St. John's Red Storm80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.