Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b39dce2a11dc5b229695540d3028785252073e383f4fe4ffcc3b895c350be71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof St. John's Red Storm, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 7,031$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.75 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 2,604$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.9 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 2,208$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 1,216$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.82 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 893.29$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 808.51$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 785.7$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 505.81$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 447.55$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 412.24$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 405.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 47c | 375.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 291.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 263.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked St. John's Red Storm | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed St. John's Red Storm | 45c | 192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed St. John's Red Storm | 37c | 114.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 54.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 46.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 42.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 63c | 40.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 40.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 32.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 61c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…39a4backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden EaglesSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.