TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Mariners, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Mariners61c20,218$12,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,330.127948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners69c14,484$10,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,053.686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels29c13,816$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,840.951,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels39c12,614$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,694.5441850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners59c8,633$5,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,084.339,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Angels40c5,656$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.8198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners60c5,393$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked Mariners60c5,300$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Mariners33c4,328$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.3819650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners18c4,271$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.632,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Angels24c4,143$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.1125835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Mariners76c3,931$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Angels40c3,600$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1607450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Angels58c3,510$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.6514951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels39c3,448$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.451,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mariners32c3,298$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.2197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf032…4456backed Angels40c3,100$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Angels40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50039041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Angels79c2,500$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.889862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Angels40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners8c2,249$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.172488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0410…6556backed Angels44c2,248$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.065244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Mariners6c1,666$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7320523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners1c1,529$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.345053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Mariners26c1,507$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4422312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners40c1,444$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.8440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners60c1,264$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.4537446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Angels30c1,018$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.517238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Mariners1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels40c999.93$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.4293240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners7c850$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.64754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Angels40c799.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9620450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Angels33c795.69$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6966645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mariners46c669$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mariners61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Angels41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7618247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Mariners71c580$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.447663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Angels39c517.74$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8233349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners74c495.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0332852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Angels39c490.86$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.425,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mariners24c483.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Angels39c481.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.8471751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners8c477.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Angels25c473.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.783941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Angels39c363$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4315949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners60c362.12$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3315944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels39c330$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.31,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Angels60c324.9$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1363942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Angels18c310.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6139739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners73c304$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Mariners61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Mariners60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners40c290.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Angels79c251.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9320367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14f…3450backed Mariners56c251.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mariners61c237.7$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners60c215$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12954048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Angels38c212.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.752542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Angels48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3324751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Mariners10c207.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Angels39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344c…0c31backed Mariners60c198.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.252853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners64c193.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.874,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Angels38c190.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Angels60c187.48$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.439349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners60c186.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Angels39c186.62$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Mariners59c169.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Angels60c166.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.876046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners61c164.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ebe…2461backed Mariners61c152.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.313060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc923…f0adbacked Angels41c149.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.493053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners59c144.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.721,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb05a…398bbacked Angels41c140.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Mariners53c136.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.152646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Mariners60c132.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mariners79c126.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Angels40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Mariners70c109.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3542955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Angels17c109.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.568434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Angels28c105.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.151,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Mariners66c105.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2620343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mariners61c104.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6474356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb30…8fedbacked Angels41c103.66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.163050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Mariners19c100.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Mariners71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.550447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d8f…5706backed Angels41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Angels39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Mariners11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a5c…ec14backed Mariners60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…7473backed Angels41c98.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.213243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Mariners51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec8…29b5backed Mariners61c97.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.