MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81eeea53cb5bfe11f50ed02ead700114d89cd0033e8bc32620e328ceb9620c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Orioles, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 46c | 4,803$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.4 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Brewers | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Brewers | 54c | 2,961$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.11 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 54c | 2,513$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Brewers | 53c | 2,418$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.64 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,404$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 35c | 2,296$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Orioles | 45c | 1,608$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.72 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Brewers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 53c | 1,455$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.83 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 43c | 1,085$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Orioles | 26c | 1,023$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 44c | 954$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 16c | 944.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 54c | 900$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 9c | 699.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 44c | 487.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.39 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Orioles | 4c | 484.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 72c | 484.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed Orioles | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 69c | 353.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 45c | 231.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Orioles | 44c | 226.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 74c | 206.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Brewers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Brewers | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Brewers | 54c | 158.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Brewers | 54c | 145.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Brewers | 57c | 139.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 54c | 108.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 80c | 102.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers | 56c | 102$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Brewers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Orioles | 43c | 99.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…e5a8backed Orioles | 46c | 98.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…35d4backed Brewers | 56c | 96.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…6204backed Orioles | 46c | 95.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…e0ebbacked Brewers | 57c | 94.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…bb4abacked Brewers | 56c | 93.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Brewers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Orioles | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…b4acbacked Orioles | 46c | 88.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Brewers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…0d5fbacked Brewers | 57c | 81.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b6…abe2backed Orioles | 46c | 80.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 23c | 71.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Orioles | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 43c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 55c | 66.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Brewers | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…0240backed Orioles | 46c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Orioles | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Brewers | 56c | 45.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Orioles | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Brewers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Brewers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Brewers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…e295backed Orioles | 45c | 32.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…f8f5backed Orioles | 45c | 31.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…92f4backed Brewers | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999c…c507backed Orioles | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Brewers | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…72c4backed Orioles | 47c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3253…03f9backed Orioles | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa3…3199backed Brewers | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Brewers | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Brewers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4dd1backed Brewers | 54c | 26.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cad9backed Brewers | 56c | 25.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Orioles | 45c | 25.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…b890backed Orioles | 47c | 24.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…31f7backed Orioles | 45c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…4a24backed Orioles | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…4d2abacked Brewers | 56c | 23.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Brewers | 55c | 23.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…bb14backed Brewers | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012e…75f3backed Brewers | 57c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3a5abacked Brewers | 56c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…4e34backed Brewers | 56c | 20.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Brewers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…4950backed Brewers | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…8855backed Brewers | 56c | 18.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…5c60backed Brewers | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.