Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Marseille beat Brest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963d7ba4d95061bcb4aa21b45293d95567fcd4a0565d0377a0fc5968c0a1c9d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,340$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.07 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,926$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0653…690ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…96cdbacked No | 33c | 1,385$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,380$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 1,314$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 31c | 1,292$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…3fe3backed No | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…b462backed Yes | 67c | 785$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…d655backed No | 32c | 320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…db0abacked No | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…784fbacked No | 33c | 290$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…d89ebacked No | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…896bbacked No | 32c | 255$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…07d1backed No | 31c | 230.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6037…1e45backed Yes | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…2e31backed No | 36c | 219.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…2cbebacked Yes | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848b…8d58backed No | 35c | 165$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…9474backed No | 33c | 165$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 67c | 148.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…2da7backed Yes | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…cbacbacked Yes | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…6fb2backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…92b1backed Yes | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…a150backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…c14dbacked Yes | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 76c | 138.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 129.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 32c | 121$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…e58abacked Yes | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…a603backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…5233backed Yes | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1391backed Yes | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…c209backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…ccf3backed Yes | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…bb19backed Yes | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…d886backed No | 33c | 89.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…4926backed Yes | 72c | 89.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…a896backed Yes | 68c | 82.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa47…552bbacked Yes | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…4b7abacked No | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 27c | 78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…b2b2backed Yes | 72c | 72.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked Yes | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…f8eebacked Yes | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb565…bc27backed Yes | 68c | 62.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…0fc7backed Yes | 72c | 61.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…ea64backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…b68fbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…5b52backed Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…a11fbacked Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…fe3dbacked No | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…4739backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1617backed Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.