NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1072e3f774862da13bf672b6e622e4093c8d84245c479011e58649c73186644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 9c | 16,165$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.33 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nets | 0c | 14,044$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Nets | 0c | 12,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 1c | 11,427$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 10c | 4,501$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.56 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…6bccbacked Nets | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nets | 4c | 3,200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Nets | 9c | 2,751$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.61 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9df2backed Nets | 10c | 2,021$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Nets | 10c | 1,700$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Nets | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Nets | 3c | 1,005$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Nets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…d158backed Nets | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Nets | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Nets | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nets | 7c | 877.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nets | 8c | 817.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Nets | 3c | 629.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Nets | 9c | 624.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 10c | 512.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Nets | 10c | 473.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets | 10c | 421.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Nets | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…3d7bbacked Nets | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nets | 10c | 262.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Nets | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nets | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Nets | 9c | 171.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nets | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.