Fifa International · resolved market
Will Qatar win on 2025-09-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87abac3968ed0378dcbb69a73e25c2aa93cf91b17568ca327a813a2432decaf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 1c | 1,130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 46c | 1,007$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.03 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 44c | 566.88$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.45 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 46c | 487.95$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Yes | 54c | 232.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 56c | 54.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Yes | 54c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…ae38backed Yes | 56c | 41.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…ee7dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…78d9backed Yes | 56c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 54c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qatar win on 2025-09-03?this page
- Will Bahrain win on 2025-09-03?No won
- Will Qatar vs. Bahrain end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.