MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25fef7a041ab067657d7b35ebe19b1aea4d96e6664b650ca6b732156e93ab495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Diamondbacks, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,160,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,169,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,020,284$488,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488,760.96 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 52c | 333,199$173,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,664.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 52c | 288,350$149,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,408 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 53c | 242,345$127,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,477.44 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 53c | 50,000$26,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Athletics | 52c | 41,666$21,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.68 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 30,543$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 52c | 16,400$8,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,872 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 52c | 16,250$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 68c | 8,112$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 6,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 52c | 5,961$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 53c | 5,935$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 52c | 5,837$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.74 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 5,428$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 78c | 4,892$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.08 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 4,260$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,169$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.65 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Athletics | 52c | 4,160$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Athletics | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Athletics | 54c | 3,029$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.33 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 3,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 2,567$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 2,394$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 53c | 2,373$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.67 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 53c | 2,086$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.22 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 68c | 1,744$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.7 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,627$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.96 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics | 55c | 1,602$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.12 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,504$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,477$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.27 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…6f33backed Athletics | 52c | 1,315$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…98dabacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…f910backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 55c | 1,153$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,122$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Athletics | 55c | 1,089$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.56 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…fed2backed Athletics | 52c | 1,085$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 952.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Athletics | 53c | 803.83$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.07 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 767.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Athletics | 55c | 648.07$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 51c | 626.33$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 535.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 532$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 4c | 499.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 470.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Athletics | 55c | 467.27$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Athletics | 52c | 447.19$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 416.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…07f0backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 370.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 349.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 312$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 277.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 269.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 207.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 190$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Athletics | 52c | 187.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 184.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 174.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 163.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 70c | 162.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 7c | 158.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 139.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Athletics | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Athletics | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 110.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Athletics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…521fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Athletics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Athletics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 96.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Athletics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 61.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 53c | 59.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.