NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e342bcfc71db78b7e72a0065694521ef913c008b53cc78c62835487a3577fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Raiders | 65c | 12,861$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330.46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 68c | 9,877$6,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,714.74 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 49ers | 38c | 8,608$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 29c | 6,698$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.69 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked 49ers | 37c | 3,037$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.56 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Raiders | 70c | 2,879$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.54 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raiders | 63c | 2,830$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.9 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed 49ers | 23c | 2,036$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed 49ers | 23c | 1,847$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.29 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed 49ers | 34c | 1,659$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.49 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked 49ers | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raiders | 73c | 1,038$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.13 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Raiders | 70c | 993.02$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.53 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed 49ers | 31c | 909.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.09 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 3c | 781$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked 49ers | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed 49ers | 36c | 458.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed 49ers | 40c | 449.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raiders | 63c | 396.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 49ers | 35c | 356.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Raiders | 68c | 349.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed 49ers | 47c | 346.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Raiders | 66c | 336.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed 49ers | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Raiders | 68c | 318.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Raiders | 77c | 315.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed 49ers | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked 49ers | 34c | 311.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.37 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed 49ers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed 49ers | 29c | 302.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raiders | 68c | 301.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Raiders | 70c | 300$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed 49ers | 33c | 284.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 49ers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed 49ers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked 49ers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 49ers | 40c | 250.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed 49ers | 24c | 204.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Raiders | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 49ers | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked 49ers | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed 49ers | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raiders | 65c | 192.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Raiders | 74c | 182.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked 49ers | 32c | 158.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed 49ers | 34c | 151.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked 49ers | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Raiders | 63c | 139.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed 49ers | 21c | 133.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 33c | 127.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Raiders | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Raiders | 74c | 117.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Raiders | 63c | 110.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Raiders | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed 49ers | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed 49ers | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed 49ers | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…dd9abacked 49ers | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked 49ers | 34c | 99.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Raiders | 63c | 99.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 30c | 88.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked 49ers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…ab82backed 49ers | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Raiders | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed 49ers | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed 49ers | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Raiders | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed 49ers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed 49ers | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked 49ers | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Raiders | 79c | 48.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed 49ers | 47c | 46.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Raiders | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked 49ers | 36c | 43.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Raiders | 64c | 43.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked 49ers | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raiders | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 49ers | 38c | 34.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Raiders | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Raiders | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Raiders | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Raiders | 75c | 29.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Raiders | 63c | 27.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Raiders | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Raiders | 69c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…7d71backed Raiders | 68c | 15.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.