TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Kiwoom Heroes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc095…8666backed Samsung Lions56c1,148$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.632268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions52c905.78$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.789644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes44c838.03$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6830140.5%122 W · 179 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes21c539.1$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2175344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes39c382.34$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7485235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions59c261.26$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.971,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions63c244$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4294655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Samsung Lions65c230.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6527357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes64c201.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.766,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Kiwoom Heroes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes36c170.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.252,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Kiwoom Heroes40c158.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4615849.4%78 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Kiwoom Heroes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes33c106.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions65c105.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Kiwoom Heroes47c89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.089662.5%60 W · 36 L+11.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes35c79.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4721248.1%102 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Samsung Lions65c71.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.297950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes32c67.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes57c66.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d5…cf99backed Samsung Lions80c62.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Samsung Lions70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.910756.1%60 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes55c58.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.015,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e1…134fbacked Kiwoom Heroes35c57.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d74…96b8backed Kiwoom Heroes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes33c56.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kiwoom Heroes38c55.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.155758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes35c53.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8782741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes34c52.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de0…6358backed Samsung Lions41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed9f…b19dbacked Samsung Lions63c46.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.188247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Kiwoom Heroes35c45.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613245.5%60 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Kiwoom Heroes40c41.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5543459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7a…ebe3backed Kiwoom Heroes34c39.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56640.9%27 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Kiwoom Heroes31c36.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.247446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes34c35.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9959038.8%229 W · 361 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…3e45backed Kiwoom Heroes40c34.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Kiwoom Heroes35c31.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21,10079.6%876 W · 224 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions54c30.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.845550.3%229 W · 226 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kiwoom Heroes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Kiwoom Heroes36c29.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7937349.6%185 W · 188 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Samsung Lions65c27.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5429250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…ab8fbacked Samsung Lions76c24.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.792161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f8…d951backed Samsung Lions59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e77…fb2bbacked Samsung Lions67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.