MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c78e39d08509f564a685e3771ab67d3e5ce1ff1945e4917cd5cf2e93fff7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc095…8666backed NC Dinos | 49c | 2,484$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed LG Twins | 66c | 1,962$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.17 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 60c | 1,360$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 35c | 1,272$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 36c | 955.38$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.42 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 65c | 906.7$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed NC Dinos | 47c | 517.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.3 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked NC Dinos | 26c | 495.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 10c | 469.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked LG Twins | 53c | 464$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 325.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed LG Twins | 52c | 307.64$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed LG Twins | 64c | 249.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed LG Twins | 49c | 243.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed NC Dinos | 47c | 208.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked NC Dinos | 45c | 204.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked NC Dinos | 37c | 150.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed NC Dinos | 38c | 148.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked LG Twins | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 66c | 131$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed NC Dinos | 23c | 130.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed LG Twins | 66c | 123$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed LG Twins | 31c | 112.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked LG Twins | 65c | 112.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed NC Dinos | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed NC Dinos | 46c | 107.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked LG Twins | 63c | 105.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed NC Dinos | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed NC Dinos | 39c | 95.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 91.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LG Twins | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed NC Dinos | 37c | 86.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked LG Twins | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 38c | 79.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 77.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 39c | 76.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 40c | 67.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked NC Dinos | 37c | 53.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked LG Twins | 41c | 45.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked NC Dinos | 30c | 44.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked LG Twins | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed NC Dinos | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed LG Twins | 50c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked NC Dinos | 38c | 28.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked LG Twins | 36c | 28.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed NC Dinos | 67c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed NC Dinos | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked LG Twins | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed LG Twins | 64c | 23.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed LG Twins | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NC Dinos | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 62c | 20.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed LG Twins | 62c | 18.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.