MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce2336532b0ca57078d0ca92a2f4de41147dcfbafe0c0767efd5b830f5625ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof SSG Landers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 40c | 4,327$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked SSG Landers | 65c | 2,049$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.53 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 1,742$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.11 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 1,557$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 1,452$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.16 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 1,054$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.17 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed SSG Landers | 54c | 702.46$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed SSG Landers | 14c | 591$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…a699backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 579.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed SSG Landers | 56c | 541.59$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.17 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked SSG Landers | 67c | 362.44$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 311.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 300.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed SSG Landers | 32c | 275$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 261.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 253.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 58c | 250.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed SSG Landers | 65c | 232.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 24c | 209.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SSG Landers | 56c | 196.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 185.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed SSG Landers | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked SSG Landers | 39c | 175.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed SSG Landers | 60c | 174.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 172$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked SSG Landers | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 141.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 71c | 140.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed SSG Landers | 37c | 137.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed SSG Landers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 79c | 126$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 116.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 39c | 110.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed SSG Landers | 37c | 107.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed SSG Landers | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 98.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 93.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 28c | 92.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SSG Landers | 67c | 92.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 55c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 90.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SSG Landers | 56c | 85.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed SSG Landers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 76c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 71.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed SSG Landers | 18c | 70.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 58.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed SSG Landers | 77c | 58.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 51.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked SSG Landers | 21c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed SSG Landers | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSG Landers | 41c | 39.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 73c | 33.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SSG Landers | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed SSG Landers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed SSG Landers | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed SSG Landers | 47c | 29.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 28.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bad…b8a8backed SSG Landers | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked SSG Landers | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed SSG Landers | 65c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed SSG Landers | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 60c | 18.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.