MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5367cf65fabb6c11c4a326cf1c0d350feaec3d29bc1c318a9139fdf85fafb385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 135,554$82,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,777.18 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…3c07backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 48,845$20,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,026.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 38,490$12,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,037.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 29,897$12,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,257.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 22,363$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 22,049$17,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 12,215$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.09 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 11,863$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 10,151$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.9 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 7,050$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 6,930$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…1417backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 6,665$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 5,831$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 5,515$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.11 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 5,227$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.56 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 4,239$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.03 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 3,669$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 3,592$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 3,576$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.92 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 2,685$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.23 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,132$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 2,044$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 2,026$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.97 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,977$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 1,872$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 1,800$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Francisco Giants | 15c | 1,600$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,587$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.52 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 1,539$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.67 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 1,472$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 1,406$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,305$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 1,205$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,069$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.69 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,047$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.91 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,017$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 1,013$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 873.05$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.41 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 870$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 726.34$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 710.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 675$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 673.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 646.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 637.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 630.85$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 630.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 614.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 609.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 605.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 551.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 534$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 533.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 526.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 524.6$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…8e93backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 481.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 478.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.02 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 474.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 471.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 467.79$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 430.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 430.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…0f17backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 415$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 403$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 390.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 382.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 380.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 320.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 318.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…ad47backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 308.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 299.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 290.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.