UFC · resolved market
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b5d04b41ec7e42bafff78130edbe4a7b679bdd9115fd46eeb0dfb37224b93e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pereiraof Pereira, Rountree Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Pereira | 78c | 14,093$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Rountree Jr. | 19c | 13,325$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…6293backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 4,599$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Pereira | 77c | 4,359$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rountree Jr. | 18c | 4,348$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.51 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rountree Jr. | 19c | 4,278$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.77 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pereira | 72c | 4,069$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.41 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 4,040$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pereira | 79c | 3,913$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.41 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Rountree Jr. | 20c | 3,799$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.44 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…0ba5backed Rountree Jr. | 23c | 2,946$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…24acbacked Pereira | 79c | 2,704$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Pereira | 79c | 2,581$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…2f14backed Pereira | 80c | 2,153$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…c21bbacked Rountree Jr. | 24c | 2,134$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Pereira | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Pereira | 73c | 1,789$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Rountree Jr. | 23c | 1,340$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…c66ebacked Rountree Jr. | 23c | 1,205$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f7…138bbacked Pereira | 79c | 1,200$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…08ccbacked Rountree Jr. | 21c | 1,124$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rountree Jr. | 24c | 1,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…6058backed Pereira | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Pereira | 80c | 851.95$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 827.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021f…17fbbacked Pereira | 80c | 775$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…5ba1backed Rountree Jr. | 24c | 690$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Pereira | 75c | 670.66$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…3834backed Rountree Jr. | 43c | 627.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Pereira | 78c | 569.05$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…ec9dbacked Pereira | 80c | 551.49$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Pereira | 80c | 508.46$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…2531backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Rountree Jr. | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed Pereira | 77c | 492.01$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…7153backed Pereira | 71c | 490.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Rountree Jr. | 33c | 488$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Pereira | 79c | 484.91$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 481.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…c957backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 452.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Pereira | 77c | 434.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rountree Jr. | 23c | 434.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pereira | 80c | 420$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e748backed Pereira | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…ae45backed Rountree Jr. | 24c | 399.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Pereira | 79c | 380.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Rountree Jr. | 21c | 339.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Rountree Jr. | 20c | 327.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Rountree Jr. | 25c | 302.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 300.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Pereira | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rountree Jr. | 20c | 258.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…f8efbacked Rountree Jr. | 18c | 258$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Pereira | 79c | 255.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Pereira | 79c | 253.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4062…018fbacked Rountree Jr. | 23c | 252.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pereira | 80c | 250.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb945…bf3abacked Rountree Jr. | 23c | 230.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Pereira | 80c | 227.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 203.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…9fbcbacked Pereira | 78c | 203$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…3dc2backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 203$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Rountree Jr. | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d6…b5fdbacked Rountree Jr. | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Pereira | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…0136backed Pereira | 78c | 192.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…6673backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…e16bbacked Rountree Jr. | 23c | 176.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Pereira | 78c | 153.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Rountree Jr. | 19c | 148.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…b364backed Pereira | 80c | 145.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Pereira | 79c | 145.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed Rountree Jr. | 20c | 143.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…59a7backed Pereira | 70c | 143.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…1983backed Rountree Jr. | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked Rountree Jr. | 20c | 133.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…ed09backed Pereira | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Pereira | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Pereira | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…5959backed Rountree Jr. | 23c | 124.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…f7dcbacked Rountree Jr. | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b7c5backed Pereira | 79c | 123$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…eb16backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 122.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb14…9a92backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 118.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…00cabacked Pereira | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Rountree Jr. | 44c | 112.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Pereira | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…3581backed Rountree Jr. | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5e…9327backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 102.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…9ca3backed Rountree Jr. | 20c | 102.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Pereira | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Pereira | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…5009backed Rountree Jr. | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Rountree Jr. | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Pereira | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rountree Jr. | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Rountree Jr. | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Pereira | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Pereira | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Rountree Jr. | 31c | 96.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.this page
- Bautista vs. AldoBautista won
- Harrison vs. VieiraHarrison won
- Holland vs. DolidzeDolidze won
- Pennington vs. PeñaPeña won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.