NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32bcd75109b0cee0712855ace47ffa9fa78ea815f6cd801692798a924869808b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,983$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.37 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Kings | 64c | 3,692$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.08 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab91…f666backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,631$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,560$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.69 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…cde5backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,378$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,233$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings | 60c | 2,870$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.13 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…cabbbacked Kings | 58c | 2,395$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…1c6bbacked Kings | 58c | 2,326$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kings | 64c | 2,308$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.92 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…9fbbbacked Kings | 58c | 2,290$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 70c | 1,928$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.38 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings | 58c | 1,654$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.04 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,537$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.72 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 57c | 1,433$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.82 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 56c | 1,361$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.41 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Kings | 58c | 1,276$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 742.36$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 54c | 674$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…7654backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Kings | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 457.93$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 57c | 389.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 386.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Kings | 10c | 270$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 57c | 222$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 217.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kings | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 199.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 164.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 163.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 153.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Kings | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 56c | 136.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 55c | 127.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 125.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…ae60backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 124.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…b8f6backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 122.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 58c | 120.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Kings | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7bdebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 95.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…a281backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 94.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 92.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…3403backed Kings | 59c | 90.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Kings | 59c | 90.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…1639backed Kings | 58c | 89.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…51d5backed Kings | 58c | 86.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…8a68backed Kings | 58c | 86.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked Kings | 58c | 85.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…e347backed Kings | 59c | 84.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…2de4backed Kings | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…60a7backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 82.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…0a9cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 80.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1060…a32dbacked Kings | 58c | 80.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 80.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 78.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 71.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Kings | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…22d8backed Kings | 58c | 63.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 62.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Kings | 60c | 58.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…9eb6backed Kings | 58c | 54.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…e238backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 50.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…0c1cbacked Kings | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 44.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…e8a8backed Kings | 57c | 43.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kings | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…48fbbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 35.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…e252backed Kings | 57c | 32.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…5cccbacked Kings | 58c | 31.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88c…eb27backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 31.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9633…cf15backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 31.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 30.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…af93backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 30.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 53c | 29.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…7dc3backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 28.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…3ed6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 27.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…8e2bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 26.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Kings | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…59a7backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 23.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…2b2abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 23.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…e27fbacked Kings | 57c | 22.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…5893backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 22.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…2b14backed Kings | 57c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kings | 57c | 21.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Kings | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…a1c2backed Kings | 57c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…14f6backed Kings | 57c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…1126backed Kings | 57c | 18.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Kings | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.