Poker · resolved market
Will Jordan Griff win the WSOP main event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71c709806ee094ac0e3112d1c4bc84136d9c9134d59ac57bffa181e4517131a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 21c | 4,934$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…0b77backed No | 79c | 3,535$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 21c | 2,529$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 79c | 2,344$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c47…2826backed No | 79c | 1,927$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 32c | 1,510$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…cc25backed Yes | 24c | 1,256$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6059…1ae9backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…bb60backed Yes | 4c | 1,151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,135$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 18c | 615.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 21c | 439.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…5126backed Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed No | 78c | 315.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 34c | 235$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…be3abacked Yes | 17c | 205$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 25c | 196.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 79c | 103.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…5772backed Yes | 19c | 100.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 23c | 98.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 19c | 90.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +241.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…8341backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2259…cba4backed Yes | 26c | 66.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 22c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 78c | 53.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…2d5dbacked Yes | 26c | 52.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…0e69backed Yes | 22c | 48.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8381backed Yes | 27c | 45.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…e24fbacked No | 76c | 41.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…d337backed No | 76c | 36.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…98b8backed No | 78c | 36.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…56b3backed No | 78c | 23.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…594bbacked No | 78c | 21.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…4898backed No | 76c | 20.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…a861backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…8334backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan Griff win the WSOP main event?this page
- Will Andres Gonzalez win the WSOP main event?No won
- Will Boris Angelov win the WSOP main event?No won
- Will Brian Kim win the WSOP main event?No won
- Will Jason Sagle win the WSOP main event?No won
- Will Joe Serock win the WSOP main event?No won
- Will Jonathan Tamayo win the WSOP main event?Yes won
- Will Malo Latinois win the WSOP main event?No won
- Will Niklas Astedt win the WSOP main event?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.