Boxing · resolved market
50kg W Boxing Final: Wu (CHN) vs. Cakiroglu (TUR)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01bbe902a99dbe1614a533a0f2a2bbfeb55d59049400fd95ee453372a39e8bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Wu, Cakiroglu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Wu | 23c | 1,487$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Cakiroglu | 71c | 982.76$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wu | 25c | 650$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +305%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Cakiroglu | 76c | 532.02$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Cakiroglu | 76c | 515.14$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Cakiroglu | 77c | 350$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Cakiroglu | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Cakiroglu | 80c | 221.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Cakiroglu | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Wu | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Cakiroglu | 77c | 137.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Wu | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…8724backed Wu | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.