Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfbdfaed2388d43ffc8351197ff0c985418b0ed2ca2586eb7f10fd81b81ec537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 46c | 2,283$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.47 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed No | 40c | 1,235$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Yes | 51c | 1,139$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 52c | 1,018$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 20c | 846.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 16c | 772.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.85 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…6e78backed Yes | 19c | 659.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yes | 18c | 545.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…12d5backed Yes | 18c | 544.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 26c | 520$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 48c | 461.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 53c | 414.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 17c | 369.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 17c | 250$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.82 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Yes | 20c | 239.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 32c | 220$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 18c | 164.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed Yes | 18c | 120.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 18c | 109.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Yes | 67c | 101.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 52c | 93.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 58c | 90.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…d568backed Yes | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…0834backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 77c | 60.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 59c | 51.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…d00ebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 60c | 26.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Yes | 79c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…3808backed Yes | 61c | 16.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-25?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.