TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,984 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes58c12,072$7,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,012.235349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No42c10,974$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,401.640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes60c4,235$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.0114659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes56c2,499$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.0432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18013547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No41c1,863$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.1524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No62c1,804$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.1137841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes17c1,490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…6cbfbacked Yes62c1,432$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.84540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c1,182$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.3383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No57c950.02$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.5538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…900bbacked No43c904.04$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes59c850$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.58937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49eb…bffbbacked Yes57c719.17$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4133644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No39c678.45$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6416660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No40c619.5$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2356158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae4…b156backed No44c599.98$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c599.32$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No41c548.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3440046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…d3f0backed No43c548.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes59c500$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9749…b3e3backed Yes57c476.6$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c476.59$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes59c412.58$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.426838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c75…6e78backed Yes60c375$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2558…dfcbbacked Yes57c373.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes57c361.91$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed Yes58c344.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed No41c333.06$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.58825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No39c304$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No41c254.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No40c213.56$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes59c176.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.134645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed Yes21c168.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes59c167$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.537241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d0…c51fbacked Yes7c162.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No42c137.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54b2…531dbacked No44c119.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e7…6eb6backed No43c117.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes58c102.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f46…585fbacked No44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5715636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No40c99.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.963655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12c…000bbacked No44c99.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba72…1d47backed Yes59c91.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x570e…1399backed Yes60c86.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…50aabacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No41c83.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.274151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Yes43c80.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc178…0abbbacked Yes59c76.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No37c75.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9617837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked No67c70.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22684.6%22 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes57c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.783663.9%23 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes47c53.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4eb7…b6b0backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ef…f2ddbacked Yes58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa16d…af12backed No43c49.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b7…9cabbacked Yes59c49.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed No42c49.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ebd…a63dbacked Yes60c49.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No77c43.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes58c43.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a4…a7a0backed Yes57c41.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb84…a22cbacked Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes59c40.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4771…7310backed Yes58c40.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc04…126fbacked No42c40.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994c…6423backed No42c39.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f2…56f3backed Yes57c38.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13e…0818backed No38c37.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb71f…cb3fbacked Yes62c37.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdc…4351backed No39c37.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8426…438bbacked Yes58c37.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…98c5backed No41c36.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb237…39e1backed No45c36.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1921…4967backed No38c36.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+99.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ce…1945backed No43c36.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8831…d1c6backed No41c36.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d46…5a02backed Yes58c35.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x029d…19bdbacked No42c35.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45c…40e9backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9451…e39bbacked Yes62c34.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x763b…7f7cbacked No38c34.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x658d…129cbacked Yes57c34.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb18…198cbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…e87fbacked Yes56c33.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be0…675bbacked Yes59c32.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2df5…b90bbacked No41c32.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8324…a981backed Yes57c31.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.