Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d2e43320d15f24271f45ae5f098aa4611a63c77ae691ad3c42907032bcc4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 15c | 2,751$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.04 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 74c | 1,132$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 253.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…1ce8backed No | 79c | 252.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 31c | 225.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 26c | 191.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yes | 23c | 187.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed Yes | 26c | 169.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…f062backed Yes | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…adc0backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…fe4bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 74c | 85.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…2987backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed No | 75c | 69.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Yes | 34c | 52.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-01-25?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.