TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cec…1e3dbacked 76ers11c9,998$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.781850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed 76ers13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers2c1,496$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.91,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Pistons39c1,091$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.534045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons37c1,088$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.1533752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed 76ers6c1,071$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.264729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed 76ers65c1,059$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.778952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons61c1,050$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed 76ers38c1,050$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons36c999.93$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.951,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked 76ers60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked 76ers48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2884045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Pistons40c582.75$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked 76ers63c580.95$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Pistons35c509.17$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1710441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Pistons40c485$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked 76ers63c484.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed 76ers62c480$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.63540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked Pistons39c443$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked 76ers60c442.77$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed 76ers62c423.74$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.62544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers61c423.13$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.111,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…9c8ebacked 76ers62c400.05$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeddd…5a93backed Pistons40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pistons37c399.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed 76ers9c388.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers34c378.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked 76ers62c321.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.611844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Pistons38c320.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.011931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd3…9860backed Pistons40c302$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+89.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…4392backed 76ers62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons39c299.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e8…9c65backed Pistons37c289.96$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.684548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed 76ers44c250$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.54944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked 76ers60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd431…1dfbbacked 76ers46c225.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…dd8ebacked 76ers31c223.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.072445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked 76ers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Pistons37c206.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.113857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked 76ers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed 76ers60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked 76ers62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed 76ers63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Pistons65c142.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed 76ers61c135.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0210334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x189f…6aaabacked Pistons38c114.18$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked 76ers19c111.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked 76ers63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6315149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.991,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons38c99.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9977437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23f…6176backed 76ers62c79.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.476550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5f…7a25backed 76ers62c73.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…fb9dbacked Pistons39c64.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked 76ers62c64.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5858754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed 76ers67c63.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d9…af34backed Pistons38c62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…9d23backed 76ers63c61.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4229…9589backed Pistons38c59.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ac…5d80backed Pistons39c57.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+159.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6b5…ce86backed Pistons38c52.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed 76ers48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9611952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked 76ers30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab1…b2b1backed 76ers64c47.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Pistons71c42.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Pistons33c39.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.743342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked 76ers63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…d01bbacked 76ers63c37.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…869fbacked Pistons38c36.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc358…24bdbacked 76ers63c35.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…799dbacked 76ers64c35.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2190…36babacked 76ers62c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b0…b509backed Pistons37c32.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a0…de2bbacked 76ers63c31.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…f3edbacked 76ers63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f2…382bbacked 76ers63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf83…53fbbacked 76ers63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bc…f55ebacked Pistons38c31.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…a1e0backed 76ers64c31.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3caf…27d4backed Pistons37c30.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a0…812ebacked Pistons38c30.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked 76ers60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…e23cbacked Pistons40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18cb…7364backed Pistons40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d47…9b5fbacked 76ers52c24.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7af…6dacbacked 76ers61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…cc28backed 76ers63c22.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f4…fc2abacked 76ers61c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f96…7a8abacked 76ers63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ab…2ed6backed 76ers61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2e…90d5backed 76ers61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f4…5190backed 76ers61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b16…9bc6backed 76ers61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec4…ceb7backed 76ers64c18.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…18b0backed 76ers64c18.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc90f…f42dbacked 76ers61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab4…895abacked 76ers61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a2b…c14cbacked 76ers64c17.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33b…9704backed 76ers64c17.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6097…c40dbacked 76ers64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.