Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo Glimt beat Porto?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d69168fc7c0c3e94022bbd72d96d36628c16cb277a21ed8d41d155728b0a024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 69c | 8,147$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.81 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 35c | 7,555$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 24c | 1,138$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 76c | 989.93$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 21c | 437.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 51c | 302.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed6…da8abacked No | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 278$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 23c | 195.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 23c | 149.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…11e0backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…b0cabacked Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…c75fbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked No | 79c | 40.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…439ebacked No | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…dc91backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…6f11backed No | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…84afbacked No | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…e7d3backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…3548backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Porto?this page
- Will Porto beat Bodo Glimt?No won
- Will the match between Bodo Glimt vs. Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.