Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Porto beat Bodo Glimt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9297af868a517eebd652813dbfda4b83277c3ff962264c9e198548034f6422c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 50c | 39,400$19,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,813.45 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 48c | 20,158$9,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736.32 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…a4bbbacked Yes | 0c | 8,774$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 55c | 8,551$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 49c | 8,015$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,405$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.49 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 51c | 1,338$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 47c | 732.43$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.19 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 48c | 608.46$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 476.75$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 464.15$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…456cbacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed Yes | 34c | 435.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…9730backed Yes | 54c | 427.59$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 53c | 352.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 47c | 284.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 48c | 164.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 53c | 149.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…1db6backed Yes | 53c | 138.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 47c | 117.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 49c | 115.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…785bbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01d…c11fbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…97bdbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa673…27c8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 53c | 95.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…e3a1backed No | 48c | 91.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…a5a7backed Yes | 53c | 91.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 51c | 79.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…46d3backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed Yes | 52c | 63.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 51c | 47.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 51c | 42.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…7235backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 45c | 33.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e195backed Yes | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…7d5abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…62f7backed Yes | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Porto beat Bodo Glimt?this page
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Porto?Yes won
- Will the match between Bodo Glimt vs. Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.