TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cowboys vs. 49ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof Cowboys, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37ea…9b3ebacked Cowboys33c45,931$14,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,984825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys19c34,595$6,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,702.4332438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed 49ers69c31,494$21,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,877.966950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed 49ers79c15,354$12,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.3314457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys15c15,281$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32033328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Cowboys31c15,000$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.4712827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Cowboys36c14,060$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.697853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ae…85c4backed 49ers70c13,229$9,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dda…8b1ebacked 49ers69c10,398$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.51464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Cowboys20c10,240$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.125643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Cowboys30c9,718$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.4812842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked 49ers69c9,614$6,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.9912051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys20c9,229$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.8744246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cowboys8c8,930$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6413942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cowboys30c8,454$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.487627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked 49ers71c7,582$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.672556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Cowboys32c7,020$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.4910144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked 49ers69c6,891$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed 49ers70c6,713$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.778856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Cowboys9c6,430$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.5611821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Cowboys26c6,282$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.4422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Cowboys30c5,896$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.945429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked 49ers70c5,772$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.613043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed 49ers67c5,010$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.627339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa0…3255backed Cowboys39c3,947$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5402…d193backed Cowboys2c3,333$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Cowboys10c3,313$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8821713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers68c3,100$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.1739754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Cowboys49c3,054$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Cowboys25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9936246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked 49ers70c2,627$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.811662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed 49ers68c2,520$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.393540%14 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Cowboys6c2,383$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.034334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed 49ers62c2,314$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.9118645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Cowboys21c2,273$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.974339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Cowboys17c2,255$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.925729.8%17 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Cowboys36c2,173$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Cowboys31c2,124$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.61520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Cowboys30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Cowboys30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e0…0bc0backed 49ers70c1,905$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.611080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Cowboys40c1,900$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked 49ers53c1,876$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.9114248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x892d…89a0backed 49ers75c1,834$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Cowboys35c1,800$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62113348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed 49ers59c1,725$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.013743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Cowboys30c1,650$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9811346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Cowboys12c1,591$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.94933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+175.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Cowboys33c1,559$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6114139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Cowboys31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4652740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked 49ers68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.594577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Cowboys31c1,439$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Cowboys5c1,421$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.113033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe86a…4e1abacked 49ers63c1,366$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cowboys15c1,347$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed 49ers75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3314452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc0…8c5ebacked Cowboys31c1,320$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Cowboys32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9913260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed 49ers69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37214445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d30…ec0dbacked Cowboys7c1,050$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fa…a8c3backed 49ers68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6d…f500backed Cowboys34c1,005$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205c…b4adbacked 49ers64c1,004$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked 49ers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed 49ers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed 49ers70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked 49ers64c988.13$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1314147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff3e…c6e3backed Cowboys18c985.69$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.582638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Cowboys31c958.06$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Cowboys31c799.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1539242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed 49ers70c752.46$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7418658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed 49ers65c750$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26120246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf9…cffdbacked Cowboys11c728.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed 49ers69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked 49ers55c710$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3163250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d5…e163backed Cowboys36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4404…c5b7backed Cowboys36c688.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18fe…7f05backed 49ers78c634$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…6e07backed Cowboys31c626.84$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed 49ers68c625$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9519864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef5…1622backed Cowboys34c620.35$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.895253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Cowboys24c605.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.222437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Cowboys45c604.24$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1513040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Cowboys10c595.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.376536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ea…ba4abacked Cowboys41c587.3$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Cowboys27c582.75$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb1…f7eebacked Cowboys5c580.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.871127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe799…3d4dbacked Cowboys32c575$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…a045backed Cowboys36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Cowboys43c522.78$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7910452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers66c501.37$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3723351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Cowboys32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed 49ers70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked 49ers70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x442b…5410backed 49ers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed 49ers58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed 49ers62c458.06$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.354314%6 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Cowboys26c448.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.284936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked 49ers65c446.01$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.942240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.