Tennis · resolved market
Will Qinwen Zheng (CHN) win Gold in Women’s Tennis?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0e67fb53d30a03a4b94e6a2781ca4b7495b638dd4c44ac2586b983769aba11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 28c | 1,906$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 70c | 1,257$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.04 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…d306backed Yes | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 31c | 1,074$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…65adbacked Yes | 68c | 680$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 13c | 550$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…acecbacked No | 32c | 380$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 29c | 151.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 71c | 140.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…1771backed No | 32c | 79.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…294dbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…88c7backed Yes | 64c | 58.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…7f45backed No | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Yes | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Yes | 69c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…a353backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…0336backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qinwen Zheng (CHN) win Gold in Women’s Tennis?this page
- Will Iga Świątek (POL) win Gold in Women's Tennis?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka (BLR) win Gold in Women’s Tennis?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in Women’s Tennis?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.