Tennis · resolved market
Will Iga Świątek (POL) win Gold in Women's Tennis?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e47995dccc7fbc468159017eb20a167a5827d6cf9bc59cb4e5fc668c130bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 76c | 620$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 14c | 431.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.1 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 74c | 419.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.73 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Yes | 80c | 125.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 13c | 125.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 14c | 71.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…9c42backed No | 22c | 68.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked No | 25c | 59.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iga Świątek (POL) win Gold in Women's Tennis?this page
- Will Aryna Sabalenka (BLR) win Gold in Women’s Tennis?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng (CHN) win Gold in Women’s Tennis?Yes won
- Will another athlete win Gold in Women’s Tennis?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.