Champions League · resolved market
Will Monaco beat Barcelona?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e0d145ebb2c1f3dda9f9bc14201cad7477bc2f988e76c1208593a5d82b883e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 19c | 4,860$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.35 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 43c | 2,941$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.05 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 47c | 1,955$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed No | 80c | 1,375$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 20c | 1,170$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.69 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked Yes | 49c | 657.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 20c | 533.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.71 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 79c | 300$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 48c | 253.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…0d61backed Yes | 52c | 212.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 20c | 198.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…3648backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…9b67backed Yes | 21c | 119.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 20c | 108$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…d70abacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 20c | 74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked No | 80c | 50.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…fb87backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…bea5backed Yes | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…f1eabacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…e86ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed No | 80c | 15.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…7cc7backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2e…8b5dbacked No | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monaco beat Barcelona?this page
- Will Barcelona beat Monaco?No won
- Will the match between Monaco vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.